Two weeks ago, Hillary Clinton enjoyed a nine-point lead over Donald Trump. That was before the FBI dropped a bombshell on the Democratic nominee’s campaign by relaunching its investigation into her use of a private email server while secretary of state.
In the first national poll since the FBI’s announcement, Clinton’s lead has collapsed to just three points — just within the CBS/New York Times poll’s margin of error.
CBS News has more context on what might be behind the shift:
As the FBI begins to sift through emails belonging to a top aide of Hillary Clinton, 62 percent of likely voters who have yet to go to the polls say the recently discovered emails and the FBI’s actions don’t make a difference to their vote, though about a third say it makes them less likely to cast their vote for Clinton. Most Republicans say the FBI’s actions make them less likely to vote for Clinton, while most Democrats and independents say it makes no difference.
Eight in 10 registered voters have heard something about the latest development in the Clinton email controversy, including nearly half who have heard a lot about it.
The allegations of unwanted sexual advances brought by a number of women against Donald Trump are also familiar to registered voters – most have heard or read a lot about these allegations. Still, six in 10 likely voters who have yet to cast their ballot say the allegations don’t make a difference in their vote, though four in 10 say they make them less likely to vote for him. Most Democrats (60 percent) are less likely to vote for Trump because of these allegations, while most Republicans (81 percent) and independents (59 percent) say the allegations make no difference.
The poll was conducted from October 28th-November 1st, which means the new stunning reports released Thursday on the FBI’s investigation into the Clinton Foundation are not taken into account.
Two separate sources told Fox News that the Clinton Foundation case is now a “very high priority” and they believe an indictment is “likely.” The Wall Street Journal also reported that the FBI obtained secretly recorded audio of a suspect in a public corruption case implicating the Clintons, but investigators met resistance from Justice Department when they wanted to pursue the lead.
With just five days to go until Election Day, the race is tighter than many of the experts predicted. This one could come down to the wire.