If the midterm elections were held today, at least five Democratic senators would lose their jobs, according to a new survey.
New polls from SurveyMonkey published Thursday by Axios reveal Sens. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), Jon Tester (D-Mont.), Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.), and Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.) would all lose to GOP challengers if the November elections were held this week.
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) March 8, 2018
Each of those lawmakers — with the exception of McCaskill, who is polled against Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley (R) — were polled against a generic Republican opponent.
President Donald Trump won each of those states in the 2016 election and is currently polling above 50 percent in all five states.
And earlier this week, FiveThirtyEight pollster Nate Silver said Democrats “haven't learned too much” from the 2016 election, noting the uphill climb they face in the House of Representatives, too:
Seems like people haven't learned too much from 2016.
Democrats are modest favorites to win the House, but not particularly heavy ones; less than Clinton was in Nobember 2016, and that race was much more competitive than news accounts implied. https://t.co/FcD8MPnjRs
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 5, 2018
Back in the Senate, the two least vulnerable candidates are Sens. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) and Bob Casey (D-Pa.), both of whom enjoy at least a nine-point margin between them and their named challengers.
In order to regain control of the 100-member chamber, the Democrats would have to protect every seat they currently hold and pick up two additional spots.