
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Monday that President-elect Donald Trumpâs electoral âmandateâ is âshallow,â citing his narrow popular vote margin and limited âcoattailsâ in Congress.
Trump defeated Vice President Kamala Harris with 312 electoral votes, securing over 76.5 million votes and just under 50% of the total, compared to Harrisâ 226 electoral votes and roughly 48.25% as of Monday morning, according to the Cook Political Report. Enten, on âCNN News Central,â asserted that most past presidents who won the popular vote secured larger margins and helped their parties gain more ground in Congress.
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âThe case that Trumpâs mandate isnât all that. Look, if you look historically speaking, Donald Trump is now under 50% in the national popular vote, barely under 50%, but he is under 50%. And I want to take a look and compare his popular vote victory to those historically speaking over the last 200 years,â Enten told host John Berman. âHis popular vote victory ranks 44th out of 51. That ainât exactly strong. Some might argue that is weak, weak, weak in the words of Tony Blair.â
âIn fact, his popular vote win at this point is the weakest going all the way back ⌠to 2000 to find a weaker one, a smaller popular vote victory than Donald Trump currently has,â he continued. âSo yeah, Trump has won the popular vote, but it ainât all that, my dear friend, John Berman.â
Berman and Enten noted that former Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama and President Joe Biden won larger shares of the popular vote than Trump.
While Republicans have secured a Senate majority, Enten asserted Trump had âshort coattailsâ as there were states where Trump was victorious that Republican Senate candidates lost or are currently trailing.
âStates Trump won but Democrats won or lead in the Senate race, look at this. In 2016, it was zero. In 2020, it was zero. In 2024, look at this. Four states, four states where a Senate Democratic candidate won even though Donald Trump won,â the data reporter said. âWeâre talking about Nevada, Arizona ⌠Michigan and Wisconsin. That is four states and Pennsylvania. We still havenât called yet. That could be five if Bob Casey is able to mount a comeback. But even if Casey loses and Dave McCormick wins, weâre talking about four states.â
âIn fact, I went all the way back through the history books, and this is the most Senate races that the winnerâs party lost in states the president won since 2004. Again, you have to go all the way back since the early 2000âs to find a historical note that matches whatâs going on right now,â he added. âSo yeah, Donald Trump won. But there werenât exactly all that many Republicans, or at least fewer than youâd expect historically, who rode around in that victory car with him.â
Republicans are also projected to maintain their majority in the House of Representatives, but Enten said it could be âhistorically small.â
âThe GOP would have a record small majority if the current House results hold. The GOP would be at 221, the Democrats would be at 214. You have to go all the way back before there were 50 states in the union to find a smaller majority for the incoming House majority that Republicans currently hold right now at 221,â he said. âAnd of course, that could drop lower if Stefanik, Waltz or others leave the House Republican majority, which at this point seems quite likely, Mr. Brennan.â
âWeâre talking a very wide win for Donald Trump but the depth, itâs not particularly deep. Itâs actually quite shallow historically speaking, Mr. Berman,â Enten concluded.
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