Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) is tossing around the idea of a 2020 presidential bid while distancing himself from the sitting president, but political analysts say he has no chance if he runs against President Donald Trump.
Hogan, still undecided if he’ll run, won over his state, which is typically left-leaning. However, outside of the blue state, the Republican could see his chances dwindle if he were to face off against Trump due to Hogan’s “far too moderate” views.
Cook Political Report editor Jennifer Duffy told The Washington Examiner Hogan has “no” chance against Trump, adding, “He’s far too moderate, frankly, to win a nomination in a Republican primary as the party stands right now.”
GOP strategist Ford O’Connell told the Examiner if Trump is in some way not on the ticket in 2020 as the Republican candidate, his party supporters probably won’t show up to the polls.
O’Connell noted that “nobody has the type of enthusiasm necessary among the Republican base,” adding, “It’s about intensity. Donald Trump gives you the best chance to win the White House.”
In The Washington Post interview published Monday, Hogan said, “I appeal to Republicans because my message is: I haven’t abandoned my principles,” adding, “I’ve just said let’s deal in the art of the possible,” as IJR Red noted.
“Of course you couldn’t win a Republican primary challenge today,” Hogan admitted during the interview. “But I also have been around long enough to know that things can change very rapidly.”
Even as Hogan mulls the idea of a 2020 run, it seems Marylanders aren’t too keen on him running for president as 55 percent are against it, according to Gaucher College’s February poll.