Former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) seems to think that Democrats will have a lock on the House, Senate, and Oval Office after the 2020 elections.
While the races for the House and one-third of the Senate have been largely overshadowed by the presidential primary races, O’Rourke claimed he may not have to negotiate with Republican leaders like Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) if he becomes president because Democrats could win back that chamber and keep the House.
O’Rourke explained his optimism during a Sunday morning interview on “Face the Nation” after host Margaret Brennan claimed the former congressman would struggle to pass his ideal immigration plan with Republicans running the Senate.
Watch O’Rourke’s interview:
Brennan: You’ll be reliant on bending Republicans to your will on that.
O’Rourke: Well, I’m not so sure that I’m willing to concede that point. There are a lot of great candidates running for congressional seats and U.S. Senate seats across this country. I’m confident that 2020 is going to produce a significant change, not just in the White House, but in both houses of Congress. I think that Democratic majority on immigration, on healthcare, on a more inclusive economy, on confronting the challenge of climate before it’s too late is going to be able to show success for the American people at this defining moment of truth.
While O’Rourke may not be willing to “conceded” that Republicans are likely to keep the Senate, he may want to take a look at some of the projections for the 34 Senate seats up in 2020.
The Democratic caucus in the Senate has 35 seats that are not up for reelection including the two independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) who generally caucus with the party. Republicans have 31 seats that are not up for reelection.
Democrats could take back the Senate mathematically, but they would have to flip some deep red states to do so:
- Ten solidly red states including South Dakota, Wyoming, and Louisiana, have Senate seats up that have been considered to be safe wins for the Republican Party.
- Seven states including Texas, Iowa, and Tennessee have senate races that are considered “likely” wins for Republicans.
- Three others, including Maine, Georgia, and North Carolina are considered to “lean” in favor of the Republican party.
- Colorado, Arizona, and Alabama are considered toss-up races.
That means Republicans are favored to win 51 seats, and there are also complete toss-ups that Republicans could snag. Democrats, on the other hand, only have 46 seats that lean in their favor, meaning they would have to win every toss-up and flip a seat that leans red.
Despite his own blowing defeat by Senator Ted Cruz (R-Texas) in 2018, O’Rourke seems confident that his party will defy the odds to win back the White House and Senate while maintaining the House.
As IJR previously reported, McConnell is happy to be the Democrats’ foil in the Senate.
“Being criticized for stopping the liberal agenda and confirming conservatives judges, I love it.”