If the 2016 election taught us anything, it was not to rely only on the polls.
All of the major 2016 election polls pointed toward Hillary Clinton winning the presidency. However, we now know the potential inaccuracy of those polls and were faced with the reality that neither party can rely on polling data to gauge who will win.
When Clinton lost in 2016, the candidate and fellow Democrats responded with shock and anger at how wrong the polls were.
The same goes for polling in the 2018 midterms. Polls from websites such as FiveThirtyEight, Cook Political Report, and CNN all favor Democrats to take back the majority in the House of Representatives. However, they show that the Senate should remain majority Republican.
Clinton’s 2016 loss was confusing to many. According to FiveThirtyEight, Hillary Clinton had a 71 percent chance of winning and Trump had a 28 percent.
Some left-leaning commentators are pointing to 2016 and warning against relying on polling data.
"Do not listen to the polls or the pundits"
— TheBeat w/Ari Melber (@TheBeatWithAri) November 3, 2018
This is one main example of how politicians should not rely solely on polls to project the outcome of midterm elections. Although Democrats are currently favored to win the majority, that does not mean that Republicans cannot win key races.