As Trump Policies Deepen Farmers’ Pain, Democrats See an Opening in Rural America

Brian Snyder/File Photo/Reuters

Seizing on mounting Farm Belt frustration with President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, Democratic rivals are stepping up their push to take back part of rural America, whose overwhelming support for Trump helped propel his upset 2016 election victory.

The sparsely populated U.S. heartland has remained loyal to the Republican president even as farmers from Iowa to Wisconsin to Pennsylvania bear the brunt of his tariff war with China. His advisers insist Trump’s projection of toughness against China will only delight, not alienate, his base.

Democrats seeking to face Trump in the November 2020 election challenge that presumption, pointing to farmers reeling from plunging prices and unsold crops during what is now more than a year-long trade war with China. Farmers and ethanol producers are also upset with the administration’s latest decision to allow more oil refiners to skirt biofuel laws and use less corn-based ethanol.

From front-runner Joe Biden to U.S. Senators Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar, many of the more than 20 Democratic presidential candidates have highlighted the economic damage caused by Trump’s trade war and biofuel waivers as the central plank of their pitches to rural America.

At various campaign stops in Iowa since June, Biden has said the trade war was “crushing” American farmers. “How many farmers across this state, across this nation, have to face the prospect of losing everything, losing their farm because of these tariffs?” Biden said in Warren County, Iowa, last week.

Biden’s aides say he will make campaigning in rural areas a top priority.

“Vice President Biden will work to expand the market for ethanol and the next generation of biofuels, and will re-engage allies to negotiate trade that benefits American farmers and other workers,” TJ Ducklo, a Biden spokesman, told Reuters.

In recent weeks, several other candidates, including Warren and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, have rushed to roll out plans for rural America, touching on everything from farm subsidies to rural healthcare and broadband.

They have already been campaigning heavily in rural Iowa, the state that kicks off the party’s nominating contest in February and is the largest producer of corn and ethanol.

In the past, Democratic candidates often just paid lip service to rural voters, said former U.S. Senator Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota, who founded the One Country Project to help Democrats broaden their rural appeal after she lost her re-election bid last year.

This year is different, she said in an interview.

“There’s an appreciation that we can’t continue to fail at the rate we’re failing in rural America and be successful in presidential races and Senate races,” Heitkamp said.

She added: “We’re getting helped a lot by the president in this regard.”

Roger Johnson, president of the National Farmers Union, said in a statement last Friday: “Between burning bridges with all of our biggest trading partners and undermining our domestic biofuels industry, President Trump is making things worse, not better.”

UPHILL BATTLE

Many rural voters helped former Democratic President Barack Obama win the White House in 2008 and 2012. But they supported Trump over Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016 by more than 30 percentage points.

Next year is again expected to be an uphill battle for Democrats. Officials worry the party’s increasingly liberal direction on immigration and other Trump-driven hot-button issues is socially and culturally at odds with rural voters.

According to the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted this month, five in 10 U.S. adults in rural areas approved of Trump’s performance in office, higher than his 41% approval nationwide.

Tim Murtaugh, the Trump campaign’s communications director, said farmers know the trade war is a “fight worth winning.”

“Farmers are patriots … and they know the long-term benefits are going to be worth it for themselves and this nation,” Murtaugh said.

The White House also unveiled a $16 billion aid package in July to help farmers hurt by the trade war and bad weather.

But Democrats point to last year’s congressional elections, where the party increased its share of the vote from 2016 in at least 54 districts with large rural populations, as a sign that Trump’s grip on rural America may be loosening.

Even a small erosion in Trump’s support among rural voters could make a difference in battleground states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, where Trump won by razor-thin margins in 2016, Democratic strategists say.

Trump won by a combined total of just 77,000 votes in the three states.

Priorities USA, the largest Democratic Super PAC, is spending hundreds of thousands of dollars a week to run digital ads in those states as well as in Florida, aimed at tying Trump’s policies to economic difficulties that many working-class people face.

‘FOLDED TO BIG OIL’

A round of more bad news for farmers last week, including extra tariffs Beijing announced on soybeans and other key U.S. agricultural exports, gave Democrats a fresh opening to attack Trump.

After Reuters reported this month that Trump gave regulators the green light to grant exemptions to more than 30 small refineries so they can use less ethanol, Democratic candidates pounced on it as evidence Trump favors the oil industry.

Klobuchar, the Minnesota lawmaker who has centered her campaign narrative on her ability to win over rural Midwestern voters, said that if elected, she would block pending refinery waiver applications and look to reverse any approved.

“He folded to Big Oil,” she told reporters on Thursday.

Murtaugh, the Trump campaign spokesman, rejected the accusation, saying the president was concerned about some “small” refineries not being able to cope with costly standards.

“As president, he must look out for the economic interests of everyone involved,” he said.

The backlash from agricultural and biofuel trade groups has been particularly strong in Iowa, a swing state won twice by Obama but that Trump carried in 2016.

“Democrats have crisscrossed Iowa. They are speaking to ethanol producers who have idled plants and talking to workers who are losing their jobs,” said Patty Judge, a former Democratic lieutenant governor in Iowa and current chair of the Focus on Rural America, which advocates progressive economic policies in rural areas.

“This is an opportunity for Democrats to win back the heartland and the White House.”

(Reporting by Tim Reid in Los Angeles and Joseph Ax in New York; Additional reporting by Jarrett Renshaw and Chris Kahn in New York; Editing by Soyoung Kim and Peter Cooney)

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Screwtape
Member

Phil,

How like you to bring your extreme TDS into the discussion. It’s a shame you cannot contribute anything else meaningful. Now throw a pageful of uncited #s at us.

Have you ever wondered why you are generally ignored, like your hometown football franchise?

Screwtape
Member

James, My late father-in-law said that Democrats talk a good game, but that’s all. They can’t run things worth shit, nor effectively administer any moneys they get without corruption. q.v. Baltimore, Puerto Rico, the state of IL. He watched as Coleman Young and his successors turned Detroit from one of America’s wealthiest, most productive cities into a shithole. He actually owned property in Flint, before it became one such, but sold before it collapsed into squalor and lead-contaminated drinking water. I wonder at the arrogance and overreach of what the Dim candidates promise. They can’t even fix or effectively run… Read more »

Screwtape
Member

The president should sell the message to the farmers that
1. they can find other uses for their crops, like animal feed, or other markets–Mexico, Japan, South America, etc.
2. they can grow other crops.
3. the government can buy up their crops (this time), with other uses or markets to be determined.

Screwtape
Member

The only harvest these opportunists want are votes. After that the farmers of “flyover” country can f off.

If the farmers can’t see this, they have only to look at the wonderlands Dims have created in cities. They promise everything but keep not a single one of those promises.

Tom Bodine
Member

People unable to stay the course will suffer in the end and that’s a fact.

Charles
Member

Democrats again making promises that they won’t keep. Continuing with a bad trade deal, NAFTA, for cheap TVs and appliances won’t protect America in the long run. We’re just recovering from the damage NAFTA did since 1993. Give it time and everything will even out as it was in the Reagan admin.(full tariffs).

Jill
Member

Having lived half my life in SW Michigan and still having lots of family there, I believe in the common sense of the farmers. Farmers understand you don’t plant a seed and harvest the next day. That is the Dem’s expectation of China. Farmers have to wait to harvest, for a calf to grow to adulthood to begin producing milk, or grow a herd. Trump will have to work and not rest on his laurels, but farmers in MI are strongly Trump supporters! The east side of the state is a different matter by Detroit. Lots of immigrants from the… Read more »

Don Snyder
Member

It takes a while to undo a bad policy. He gets the blame when it was previous Presidents who caused the mess. Not he’s being blamed for trying to clean it up. This guy can’t win with the media and Democrats. But he’s winning with America.

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