White House Says ‘No Recession in Sight’ Despite Market Turmoil

FILE PHOTO: White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow talks with reporters on the driveway outside the West Wing of the White House in Washington, U.S. August 2, 2019. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow talks with reporters on the driveway outside the West Wing of the White House in Washington, U.S. August 2, 2019. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo

White House officials pushed back on Sunday against concerns that economic growth may be faltering, saying they saw little risk of recession despite a volatile week on global bond markets, and insisting their trade war with China was doing no damage to the United States.

“There is no recession in sight,” White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said on “Fox News Sunday.””Consumers are working. Their wages are rising. They are spending and they are saving…I think we are in pretty good shape.”

U.S. stock markets tanked last week on recession fears with all three major U.S. indexes closing down about 3% on Wednesday only to pair their losses by Friday due to expectations the European Central Bank might cut rates.

For a brief time last week bond investors also demanded a higher interest rate on 2-year Treasury bonds than for 10-year Treasury bonds, often construed as a sign of lost faith in near-term economic growth.

However, trade adviser Peter Navarro on Sunday likewise dismissed last week’s warning signs, saying “good” economic dynamics were encouraging investors to move money to the United States.

“We have the strongest economy in the world and money is coming here for our stock market. It’s also coming here to chase yield in our bond markets,” Navarro told ABC’s “This Week,”

That sort “flight to safety” is typically driven by concerns of global economic trouble – in this case the possibility that the Trump administration’s tariff battle with China may dampen business investment and growth worldwide.

The tariffs on Chinese goods, Navarro said, “are not hurting anybody here.”

The U.S. economy does continue to grow and add jobs each month. Retail sales in July jumped a stronger-than-expected 0.7%, the government reported last week, and Kudlow said that number showed that the main prop of the U.S. economy is intact.

But manufacturing growth has slowed and lagging business investment has also become a drag. Globally, flagging global trade appears to have pushed the German economy toward recession, and dampened growth in China.

A slowdown would be bad news for President Donald Trump, who is building his 2020 bid for a second term around the economy’s performance. He told voters at a rally last week they had “no choice” but to vote for him in order to preserve their jobs and investments.

Despite talking up the economy, the president and his advisers have repeatedly accused the U.S. Federal Reserve of undermining the administration’s economic policies. On Sunday, Kudlow again pointed the finger at the central bank, describing rate hikes through 2017 and 2018 as “very severe monetary restraint.”

The Fed hiked rates seven times over those two years as part of a plan to restore normal monetary policy following the emergency steps taken to battle the 2007-2009 global financial crisis and recession.

Even with those steps, the Fed’s target interest rate has remained well below historic norms, and policymakers have started cutting rates in response to growing global risks.

Democratic presidential candidates on Sunday joined the many economic analysts who have said the administration’s sometimes erratic policies are to blame for increased uncertainty, disappointing business investment and market volatility.

“I’m afraid that this president is driving the global economy and our economy into recession,” Democratic candidate Beto O’Rourke said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

The China trade war and the imposition of tariffs was “hammering the hell out of farmers across this country.”

(Reporting by Howard Schneider; additional reporting by Humeyra Pamuk; editing by Michelle Price and Lisa Shumaker)

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Allen Zabel
Member

Looks like the media is actually hoping for the economy to crash.
This same scenario, was played out twice, under Trump and what …? Wait …? NO RECESSION.
These liberal, scum sucking gutter dwellers, would rather see America fail dismally, than succeed under President Trump.

General Confusion
Member

Lots of people are confused by the real effects from King Donald The Loser’s tarrifs. The king tweeted recently that China is eating the tariffs. THAT.IS.ANOTHER.LIE! Recent research indicated that the average household has paid $832 more for imported products (2018 customs data). The average family can’t manage a $400 emergency, so, in effect, King Donald The Loser has created more than TWO family emergencies is just one year. Thanks! Another indication that the king lied is shown by backing off adding tariffs on cell phones and electronics until mid-December. There would be no need to protect American Christmas sales… Read more »

Trisha Barton
Member

Just a scare tactic to make it happen and blame it on Trump. Trump has made everything better. The evil left are behind everything bad that’s happening!

Otis
Member

Wall Street seemingly enjoys panic and always has, much of it ‘self’ created.

Sherri
Member

The left, globalists, cabal will do anything, ANYTHING to remove Trump or thwart reelection. People do not seem to understand there are more filthy rich lefties on this globe then righties. They will market manipulate to scare people. You know what they won’t do? They won’t go broke for it. They’ll except 4 more years before they put themselves at a lower standard. The market always bounces back when they do this. Go back, look at how many times they’ve tried this already.

Michael
Member

It’s all a conspiracy against Trump…SMDH Laying the groundwork for ridiculous excuses before a recession even hits.

Joey
Guest
Joey

According to business programs only 25% of the economists think there is a recession, that means 75% think its all right. Could it be more of they sky is falling from the left?

Phyllis Softa
Member

For those who did not follow Larry Kudlow in December 2007, he was not seeing a recession in the U.S.’s future then either. He was a big fan of optimism then too. He was a big fan of pessimism from Jan, 2009 to Nov 5, 2017. Kudlow has also reversed himself on the economic damage of tariffs. The U.S. soybean and wheat farmers will be relieved to know that they are not effected by the Trump tariffs as apparently Larry only sees the tariffs as damaging to the Chinese. Make America SANE Again.

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