CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten said on Tuesday that Americans are no longer paying much attention to Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Newsom’s chances of becoming the 2028 Democratic nominee dropped from 37% in November to 28% in February, Enten said while citing Kalshi’s prediction market odds. Google searches for Newsom also dropped by 63% since August, when Newsom began mocking President Donald Trump on social media.
“It seems to me that Gavin Newsom is flailing a little bit, at least compared to where he was prior, because just take a look here. Chance Newsom is the 2028 Democrat nominee. Three months ago, according to the cash prediction market. Look at that. It was a 37 percent chance. Now it’s just at 28 percent, down he goes. He’s definitely flailing a little bit,” Enten said.
“And I will note, John [Berman], I will note that it also seems to me people are a little less interested in Gavin Newsom than they used to be,” Enten continued. “Look at this. Google searches for Gavin Newsom down 63 percent from the August peak. You remember back then it was when he started that social media right going after President Trump. It was a lot of interest from Democratic voters. But maybe that interest is waning off just a little bit.”
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Enten pointed out that Newsom narrowly led other possible contenders in a potential 2028 primary race by 19%, while former Vice President Kamala Harris came in second with 18%. Democratic New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez came in last place at 12%. Harris led in 2028 Democratic primary polling by 7.6 points as of Tuesday, according to RealClear Polling.
The Democrats have yet to find a clear frontrunner for the 2028 race as of February, which has not happened ahead of an election since 1992.
Newsom received backlash from conservatives on Monday for telling Democratic Atlanta Mayor Andrew Dickens, who is black, that he related to him by not being able to read and getting a low score on his SATs. The governor stated in response to Fox News’ Sean Hannity that he was being falsely accused of racism for talking about his struggle with dyslexia.
Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told Politico on Feb. 13 that Newsom “would make a great president” and has promoted him publicly.
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