With the polls close between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, it may take several days until the election is called, per the head of the Fox News Decision Desk.
Speaking with Politico Magazine, Arnon Mishkin is predicting when those results will come.
“The over/under is Saturday,” he said. “Which was when the call was made last time.”
While Mishkin has plans to call the election as soon as he can, the way votes are counted in several swing states could result in it taking five days, he predicts.
Mishkin explained he, however, does not feel pressure from executives to “make our audience happy.”
Read his full response on when he thinks he will be able to call the election:
“The race seems very, very close. It is dependent on a number of states, like Pennsylvania, that we believe are going to be reporting in a pattern similar to the way they have reported in the past. So I’d say, the over/under is Saturday. Which was when the call was made last time. Which is when Pennsylvania is likely to come in.
I think we have to accept the reality that we don’t really know how close this election is going to be. I’m pretty sure it’s going to be close. I see some polls that say, ‘Actually, it ain’t going to be close. It’s going to be one way or the other.’ There’s some reporting that Trump is sort of gaining. Some of the polls have showed he’s gaining. There’s another sense I have that actually he may be declining. I think the real issue is what happens to Trump. I’ve always thought this about this election: It’s less about who’s running against him than it’s about Trump.”
The New York Times’ national polling average has Harris at 49% and Trump at 48%. Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average has Harris at 48.1% and Trump at 46.4%, as of Monday.
As the Times‘ chief political analyst Nate Cohn put it: “With two weeks to go, the polls of the presidential election are starting to run out of room to get any closer. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are essentially tied — with neither candidate ahead by even a single percentage point — in The New York Times’s polling averages of five critical battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin and North Carolina.”
