A majority of Canadians now view the U.S. as their country’s top security threat — ranking it above China, Russia and Iran — according to a shocking new survey.
The poll, conducted for Bloomberg by Nanos Research Group, found 55% of Canadians believe the U.S. currently poses the greatest risk to Canada’s national security. Only 15% selected China, while 14% named Russia and 2% chose Iran.
The survey followed a series of confrontations between Prime Minister Mark Carney and President Donald Trump, including tariff disputes, clashes over NATO and the president’s push to control Greenland. Ottawa has simultaneously sought to deepen economic and diplomatic ties with China’s communist regime.
The results also revealed a gender divide, with roughly 64% of women naming the U.S. as Canada’s primary threat, compared to 45% of men. The survey of 1,009 adults was conducted Jan. 31 through Feb. 4 and has a margin of error of about 3.1 percentage points.
A separate survey released Thursday by Politico found that a majority of Canadians no longer view the U.S. as a reliable ally. The poll also found that 67% say the U.S. challenges rather than supports its allies around the world, and 69% agree the U.S. tends to create problems for other countries rather than solve them.
Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos in late January, Carney said the long-standing U.S.-led “rules-based international order” has become a “fiction,” warning the world is now in a geopolitical “rupture” where major powers increasingly act without constraint. In response, Trump withdrew Canada’s invitation to his newly launched Board of Peace to oversee the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, as well as the rebuilding of Gaza.
Carney’s remarks followed a diplomatic trip to China, where he announced new strategic partnerships and praised the leadership of Chinese President Xi Jinping.
“The world has changed much since that last visit, I believe the progress that we have made in the partnership sets us up well for the new world order,” the prime minister of Canada declared during his visit.
Following the trip, Carney’s government announced a “new strategic partnership” with China, focused on energy, agriculture and trade. Under the agreement, Canada allowed nearly 50,000 Chinese electric vehicles into its market, and set what it had called “an ambitious goal to increase exports to China by 50%.”
Trump responded by warning Carney — whom he referred to as “governor” — that Canada could face a 100% tariff if it “makes a deal with China.” The president has periodically joked about Canada becoming the 51st state, which has fueled political backlash inside the country.
Carney’s government has also unveiled a defense-industrial strategy designed to steer more military procurement toward Canadian firms rather than relying as heavily on U.S. contractors, arguing that the country must reduce long-standing strategic dependencies.
In February, the president said he would block the opening of the Gordie Howe International Bridge, connecting the Canadian province of Ontario to Michigan, until Ottawa “treats the United States with the Fairness and Respect that we deserve.”
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