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GOP Pollster Labels Trump the ‘Odds-On’ Favorite To Be the Party’s Nominee in 2024

May 6, 2021
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GOP Pollster Labels Trump the ‘Odds-On’ Favorite To Be the Party’s Nominee in 2024

by Bradley Cortright
May 6, 2021 at 3:06 pm
in IJR
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FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump is followed by HHS Secretary Alex Azar as he arrives to speak about prescription drug prices during an appearance in the Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House in Washington, U.S., November 20, 2020. (Carlos Barria/Reuters)

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Former President Donald Trump has not said whether he plans to make another bid for the White House in 2024. But, a long-time Republican pollster is predicting he would win the party’s nomination if he did.

During an interview on The New York Times’ “Sway” podcast released on Thursday, host Kara Swisher asked veteran Republican pollster Frank Luntz if he believes Trump would have a chance if he decided to run in 2024.

“If Donald Trump runs for president, as a Republican, he’s the odds-on favorite to win the nomination. He could never win a general election,” Luntz responded.

He continued, “But I can’t imagine losing a Republican primary. That’s how significant he is within the GOP. And yet, he’s lost all of those crossover voters that would deny him the chance to win in a general election.”

Swisher asked, “So he will be the nominee but not win, right? At this moment.”

“I would bet on him to be the nominee. And I would bet on him losing to whatever Democratic nominee there was,” Luntz reiterated.

During an interview on The Daily Wire’s “Candace,” Trump was asked by host Candace Owen if he is going to run for president in 2024.

“The answer is I’m absolutely enthused. I look forward to doing an announcement at the right time,” Trump said. “As you know, it’s very early, but I think people are going to be very, very happy … when I make a certain announcement.”

He continued, “For campaign finance reasons, you really can’t do it too early because it becomes a whole different thing. Otherwise, I’d give you an answer that I think you’d be very happy with.”

He added, “So we are looking at that very, very seriously. And uh, all I’ll say is stay tuned!”

Tags: Donald Trump
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Bradley Cortright

Bradley Cortright

IJR, Senior Writer He's written for Independent Journal Review since 2019.

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