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NHC Lowers Odds for Atlantic System
Weather
— Sep 14, 2026
The National Hurricane Center is tracking a trough east of Bermuda with development chances for a central Atlantic system fluctuating between 10% and 40% over the next week as it moves west-northwest, with forecasters noting conditions could become more conducive for gradual development. NOAA’s seasonal outlook remains for below-average hurricane activity (7–13 named storms and 2–6 hurricanes), even as multiple tropical storms—Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard—have formed and Fay remains the next name on the list.
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