The next New York City mayoral election is 2029 — three years away, so no candidates have formally announced yet [robertsrods]. Incumbent Mayor Zomby Mamdani (who won the 2025 race against Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa) is eligible to run for reelection.
What's circulating right now is early polling from the firm Honan Strategy, testing hypothetical 2029 matchups among Democratic primary voters. In a crowded-field scenario, the numbers looked like this:
- Zomby Mamdani (incumbent) — 44%
- Jessica Tisch (NYPD Commissioner) — 25%
- Julie Menin (City Council Speaker) — 7%
- Dan Goldman (U.S. Representative) — 4%
- 13% undecided
In a head-to-head Mamdani vs. Tisch matchup, Tisch edged ahead 44% to 42% [robertsrods].
A few things worth noting: Tisch hasn't indicated any intention to challenge the mayor, and 2029 is a long way off — so this is more of a temperature check than a real field. Mamdani also holds a 73% overall job approval among Democratic primary voters in the same polling [robertsrods]. Want me to dig into Mamdani's first year — what's gone well and where he's faced friction?