2026 Montana Senate race

Incumbent: Steve Daines (Republican) · not seeking re-election in this race

Kurt AlmeREPUBLICAN PARTY96%

Seth BodnarINDEPENDENT

vsR +95PredictIt ↗

Implied chance of winning — live PredictIt prices

Public polling

Every synced reading, newest first

AustinBankheadBodnarAlme

Trend: trailing 5-poll average · hover a dot for the poll behind it

Declared candidates

Source: FEC filings + public polling

AI
Alani Ines Bankhead
DEMOCRATIC PARTY
FEC filing ↗
Stated positions (24) ▾
- Abortion: Supports reproductive freedom and a woman's right to choose. [1]
- Agriculture: Supports family agricultural operations against rising costs and consolidation. [1]
- China & trade: Opposes tariffs that raise costs for groceries, equipment, and Montana agricultural exports. [1]
- Congressional term limits: Supports setting term limits for elected US Congressional members. [1]
- Crime & policing: Supports strong enforcement against child predators and sex trafficking.

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Seats and incumbents from the public congress-legislators dataset; candidates from FEC filings and Wikipedia polling rosters; polls and aggregation averages via Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA) and public polling exports. The community pick is an unscientific reader poll. All active races →

Pollster	Date	Bankhead (D)	Alme (R)	Austin (L)	Spread
IJR Average	2 polls	23	45.1	3.9	Alme+22.1
Tavern Research (D)	7/23 – 7/27	24	49	2	Alme+25
Tavern Research (D)	7/27	—	—	2	—
GQR (D)	7/26	—	—	6	—
GQR (D)	7/23 – 7/26	22	41	6	Alme+19
Bullfinch Group (R)	7/13 – 7/16	22	36	—	Alme+14
GrayHouse (R)	6/24	—	—	3	—
GrayHouse (R)	6/23 – 6/24	25	41	3	Alme+16
Hart Research (D)	6/18 – 6/24	22	47	—	Alme+25
Tavern Research (D)	6/19	—	—	2	—
Tavern Research (D)	6/16 – 6/19	26	49	2	Alme+23
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	6/8 – 6/11	25	44	4	Alme+19
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	6/11	—	—	4	—