President Joe Biden is getting more “not great news.”
The president is slipping in the polls more and more following his dismal performance during the presidential debate Thursday, per Mediaite.
“[We’ve] got a string of polls in late this afternoon, they’re mostly poor for Joe Biden, and they’re beginning to have a bigger impact on the model,” according to Nate Silver in Monday’s forecast. “Trump now leads by 2.7 points in our national average. And Biden’s win probability has dropped to 28 percent from 35 percent on debate night.”
And the future does not look any brighter.
“Our guess is that more likely than not, there’s some further decline ahead: the model is trying to figure out whether this is random noise, but instead it’s almost certainly caused by a challenging first debate for Biden,” he said. “It’s not great news for the president.”
Biden had been 1% lower than former President Donald Trump until the debate when Biden fell from 41.3% to 40.6%, and fell further to 40.3% Friday.
Biden wasn’t the only candidate to slip.
Trump fell from 42.3% to 42.1%. He was at 41.8% on June 28.
He recovered, going back up to 42.7% on June 30 and then to 43% on July 1, which was a higher poll average than prior to the debate.
The last time Biden was in the lead in Silver’s forecast was in April.
The president’s performance at the debate has not helped his cause as now Democratic supporters and media outlets are calling for him to step aside.
Before the debate even occurred, Silver proposed Biden should remove himself when his approval rating plummeted to an all-time low.
“Biden just hit a new all-time low in approval (37.4%) at 538 yesterday. Dropping out would be a big risk. But there’s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk,” Silver said last month. “Are we there yet? I don’t know. But it’s more than fair to ask.”
