Jerome Powell Suggests Fed Is On Track To Cut Interest Rates Once Again

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested Tuesday that the central bank may be on track to lower its interest rate target range again in 2025.

Powell said in a speech at an event hosted by the National Association for 💼Business Economics that based on data currently available amid the ongoing government shutdown, “it is fair to say that the outlook for employment and inflation does not appear to have changed much” in the past four weeks. His comments appear to signal that the Fed is on track to make more rate cuts in the future after lowering its target range in September.

Though, Powell said that economic data available before the start of the shutdown indicates that “growth in economic activity may be on a somewhat firmer trajectory than expected.” The Fed chairman also stressed that the “downside risks to employment appear to have risen” amid a somewhat softening labor market.

“While the unemployment rate remained low through August, payroll gains have slowed sharply, likely in part due to a decline in labor force growth due to lower immigration and labor force participation,” Powell said. “In this less dynamic and somewhat softer labor market, the downside risks to employment appear to have risen. While official employment data for September are delayed, available evidence suggests that both layoffs and hiring remain low, and that both households’ perceptions of job availability and firms’ perceptions of hiring difficulty continue their downward trajectories.”