Socialist Zohran Mamdani’s Once Massive Lead Evaporates With Just One Week To Go, Poll Shows

Democratic New York City mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani, a self-avowed socialist, has seen his lead greatly shrink over the past month, with just over a week to go before Election Day on Nov. 4, according to a Suffolk University poll released Monday.

Mamdani received the support of 43.8% of likely voters polled — 10 points ahead of independent candidate and former Democratic New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, who polled at 33.6% — with Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa trailing at 10.8% and 7.2% of respondents undecided, according to the survey. A previous Suffolk University poll conducted in mid-September showed Mamdani with a landslide lead, garnering 45.0% of support compared to 25.2% for Cuomo, 8.6% for Sliwa and 9.4% undecided.

Cuomo was able to slice his deficit in half in just one month due to gaining substantial ground with Hispanic and independent voters, according to a press release from Suffolk University, citing data from the two polls. The former governor went from being behind Mamdani by 30 points among Hispanic voters in September to being ahead by one point among the demographic the next month. Similarly, Cuomo went from trailing Mamdani among independent voters by 18 points in September to being ahead by 10 points among independents in October.