CNN’s Harry Enten Breaks Down Mike Johnson’s Chances Of Getting Reelected Speaker

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten broke down House Speaker Mike Johnson’s chances of getting reelected to hold the gavel in a Friday segment.

The House is scheduled to vote on whether Johnson will remain in his position in the 119th Congress, where he holds the narrowest chances in over 100 years. Johnson will lose the speakership if two House Republicans, along with all Democrats, vote against him or if one congressperson from his party votes in opposition while two others abstain, Enten said.

“This is the simple math. We went through it yesterday, I feel like it’s deja vu all over again when it comes to these speaker races,” Enten said. “Look, this is the simple math. GOP reps can sink Johnson’s speaker bid in scenario one, if just two vote against him, if just two Republican representatives vote against him, assuming 434 members vote and no Democrats vote against for Johnson which is what we expect, if just two Republicans vote against him, he doesn’t win the speakership. How about scenario two. If one votes against him, and two abstain i.e. vote present, then that too would deny Johnson the speakership.”

“Look, we are dealing with a historically narrow majority, the narrowest going into a speaker’s vote this early in the Congress since 1917. And the bottom line is, the math is just so, so tight,” Enten continued.

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Republican Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie has vowed to vote against Johnson in the upcoming speaker vote, which would threaten the speaker’s chances of reelection. Republican Reps. Victoria Spartz of Indiana and Chip Roy of Texas have further expressed serious concerns about Johnson’s speakership.