GOP In ‘Strong Position’ To Keep The House, NRCC Poll Maintains

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) released a poll Tuesday that maintains Republicans are in a “strong position to defend and grow the House majority” in the 2026 midterms.

The poll was first revealed at a House Republican Conference meeting, and compares the political landscape going into the 2026 midterms with the atmosphere ahead of the 2018 midterms, which were held during President Donald Trump’s first White House term and were widely considered a “blue wave.” The nationwide poll was conducted April 13-18 and was first reported by Punchbowl News.

“Unlike in 2017, voters today are turning away from Democrats’ failed leadership and are rallying behind Republican solutions on the issues that matter most,” states the NRCC’s memo on the poll. “Unlike 2017, this poll demonstrates that House Republicans are not just on offense and starting the cycle on a strong footing to grow our majority; Republicans are leading the charge and setting the terms of the fight.”

Democrats remain just one point ahead of Republicans on the generic ballot, according to the poll. In April 2017, the Democratic Party had a six-point lead on the generic Congressional ballot, the memo says.

However, across the 13 Democratic-held districts which Trump won in 2024, Republicans are leading the generic ballot by two points, the poll found. The NRCC’s memo calls this a “strong indicator of Republican momentum.”