Trump’s Chances Of Winning Electoral College Continue To Increase As Blue-Wall State Poll Swings In His Favor

Former President Donald Trump’s chances of securing an Electoral College victory in the upcoming November election have improved, as a recent poll shows him leading in Michigan.

A J.L. Partners model showed Trump with an advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris, giving Trump a 58.8% chance of winning the electoral college compared to Harris’ 41.1%, after a Michigan poll released on Thursday by Michigan News Source and MIRS showed him leading in the Great Lakes State. Previous polling by The New York Times and Siena College revealed Harris and Trump locked in a close race in the key battleground of Michigan as well.

“Things continue to move against Harris—Trump’s win probability has increased by another two points since last week. The win probability gap has now widened to nearly 18 points,” Callum Hunter, data scientist at J.L. Partners, said, according to the Daily Mail .

“The fact that Michigan has moved into the Trump camp is significant and a major blow to the Harris campaign. New polls this week may temper this increasingly good news for Trump,” Hunter said.