Futuro Nazionale Rises to Fourth in Polls

Futuro Nazionale, led by former paratroop general Roberto Vannacci, has surged to become Italy’s fourth-largest party in recent polls, surpassing Forza Italia and prompting scrutiny of its potential impact on Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s coalition. Poll readings from SWG and BiDiMedia place Futuro Nazionale around 7.5–8 percent, with Meloni’s Brothers of Italy still leading but potentially weakened if the new party binds more fully to the right. Vannacci’s rise follows his split from Salvini’s League and his promotion of hard-line stances on migration and traditional values, a trajectory that complicates Meloni’s path to a second term. In parallel, center-right dynamics are evident in Reggio Calabria, where Forza Italia chose Fabio Roscioli as a temporary replacement aligned with party strategy, signaling attempts to demonstrate cohesion without relying on Vannacci’s momentum. Taken together, the polling trend and regional maneuvers suggest Futuro Nazionale is reshaping the Italian right and pressuring Meloni’s coalition ahead of elections due next year. Analysts say the party’s popularity could shift the balance of power, depending on whether it remains independent or seeks a coalition role more formally.