AI Models Favor Fiorot Over Grasso in Noche UFC Bouts

Athlon Sports’ model favors Manon Fiorot over former champion Alexa Grasso, citing Fiorot’s higher striking volume, movement, physicality and defensive statistics, though Grasso’s experience and championship résumé make a close decision a viable alternative. The model also leans toward Waldo Cortes-Acosta against Curtis Blaydes, emphasizing Cortes-Acosta’s durability and Blaydes’ recent damage, while acknowledging that Blaydes’ elite wrestling could produce an upset. A separate betting analysis takes the opposite view, backing Blaydes as an underdog and arguing that takedowns and top control are his clearest path against Cortes-Acosta’s dangerous striking. In the bantamweight bout, the model picks rising contender Jesus Martinez over veteran Dan Ige, whose first cut to 135 pounds and recent knockout loss create concerns despite his experience and power. Edgar Chairez is favored over Tim Elliott at their agreed 130-pound catchweight because of his recent winning streak, submission threat, reach advantage and improved defensive wrestling, although Elliott remains a credible decision threat.