US Private Payroll Growth Slows in June

June private-sector payrolls rose by 98,000, below expectations of about 110,000, signaling a cooling in the labor market after May’s stronger print. Early July ADP data show a continued slowdown, with an average of 16.5 thousand jobs per week over four weeks ending July 4, down from 19.25 thousand, highlighting ongoing slack in hiring and potential implications for wage growth and inflation. Markets remain focused on wage trends and employment as key indicators for monetary policy, with weaker hiring often weighing on the dollar. The currency market narrative included a USDCAD uptick that pierced key technical levels, underscoring a bullish tilt as traders weigh labor data against broader fundamentals. An update on July 21 reiterated ADP’s figure of 16,500 and noted no forecast, reinforcing expectations that softer private employment could influence upcoming payrolls. Taken together, the data suggest a cooling labor market that could influence consumer spending and policy responses in the near term.